A poll of exit surveys indicated after voting ended for state elections that are viewed as the semi-final ahead of the 2024 national election that Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) will sweep Punjab and Uttar Pradesh will remain solidly with the BJP.
A word of caution: exit polls frequently get it wrong.
According to six exit polls, the Yogi Adityanath-led BJP is poised to win another term in Uttar Pradesh by a landslide. The BJP and its allies have 241 of the state’s 403 seats, with Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party coming in second with 142 seats, according to an aggregate of exit polls.
An average of ten surveys indicates a stunning victory for AAP in Punjab, the party’s first big state. According to exit polls, AAP has 63 seats in Punjab’s 117-seat legislature, with a 59 percent majority. If this occurs, AAP will become the first full-fledged state government; Delhi, where it has been in power since 2015, is partially governed by the Centre.
The ruling Congress is expected to finish second in the assembly with 28 seats, according to polls, indicating that the party’s intense infighting could cost it votes; in the months leading up to the election, Navjot Singh Sidhu quarrelled with veteran Amarinder Singh as well as the man who replaced him, Charanjit Singh Channi.
With its previous ally, Akali Dal, expected to win 19 seats, the BJP, which teamed up with Amarinder Singh, may remain a small influence in Punjab.
A survey of 11 exit polls in Uttarakhand forecasts a tight race, with the BJP in the lead but both the ruling party and the Congress within striking distance of power. According to exit polls, the BJP could win 35 seats and the Congress 32. According to polls, the AAP may win one seat.
Exit polls predict a close race in Goa, with the BJP and the Congress both, predicted to win 16 of the state’s 40 seats, far short of the required majority of 21.
Ten exit polls give Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool three seats, implying that it could end up being the kingmaker in a majority fight. Despite being the single-largest party in the 2017 election, Congress was unable to gain power due to key crossovers.
According to an average of six exit polls, the BJP is on track to become Manipur’s largest party. According to exit polls, the BJP is set to win 30 seats in the 60-seat assembly, just one short of a majority. They predict that Congress will win 13 seats.
Today’s election in Uttar Pradesh brought an end to a month of voting in UP, Punjab, Goa, Manipur, and Uttarakhand.
The results of the election will be announced on Thursday (March 10).