In the recent days, countries which are close to China have been able to curb the number of persons getting affected with the COVID 19 but countries which are distant from them are seeing an exponential surge in the number of COVID 19 affected cases.
Early testing and wider coverage distinguish such Asian countries from Western countries. However, India is dangerously placed as it has among the lowest testing rates across the globe.
Many Asian nations such as Singapore, Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Hong Kong have contained the spread to a large extent, whereas European countries such as Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, U.K. Spain, the Americas and West Asian countries like Iran are seeing an exponential rise in COVID-19 cases.
More tests means better results and therefore the below graph plots the number of virus tests per million population as of March 9 against the number of COVID-19 cases as of March 13 for nations that have provided this data.
The graph below shows virus tests per million population as of February 4 (indicated by purple circle) and March 9 (pink circle). As of February 4, the testing rates of all nations were almost similar, but since then, some nations have scaled up the rate of testing by a huge margin and contained the spread of COVID-19.
Hong Kong, S. Korea and Taiwan in recent times have scaled up their test rates and contained the spread to a large extent whereas the U.S. and U.K. have not done so and have seen an exponential rise in cases. India too has not scaled up the rate of testing and this is not a good sign.
In India, though the testing rates are abysmal, as of Sunday no spike in disease spread has been reported. But the exponential rise of cases in Western nations, which have similarly low rates of testing, should be enough to worry the Indians.